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Modeling and simulating the impact of forgetting and communication errors on delays in civil infrastructure

Zhe SUN, Cheng ZHANG, Pingbo TANG

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2021年第8卷第1期页码 109-121 doi: 10.1007/s42524-019-0084-6

摘要： Handoff processes during civil infrastructure operations are transitions between sequential tasks. Typical handoffs constantly involve cognitive and communication activities among operations personnel, as well as traveling activities. Large civil infrastructures, such as nuclear power plants (NPPs), provide critical services to modern cities but require regular or unexpected shutdowns (i.e., outage) for maintenance. Handoffs during such an outage contain interwoven workflows and communication activities that pose challenges to the cognitive and communication skills of handoff participants and constantly result in delays. Traveling time and changing field conditions bring additional challenges to effective coordination among multiple groups of people. Historical NPP records studied in this research indicate that even meticulous planning that takes six months before each outage could hardly guarantee sufficient back-up plans for handling various unexpected events. Consequently, delays frequently occur in NPP outages and bring significant socioeconomic losses. A synthesis of previous studies on the delay analysis of accelerated maintenance schedules revealed the importance and challenges of handoff modeling. However, existing schedule representation methods could hardly represent the interwoven communication, cognitive, traveling, and working processes of multiple participants collaborating on completing scheduled tasks. Moreover, the lack of formal models that capture how cognitive, waiting, traveling, and communication issues affect outage workflows force managers to rely on personal experiences in diagnosing delays and coordinating multiple teams involved in outages. This study aims to establish formal models through agent-based simulation to support the analytical assessment of outage schedules with full consideration of cognitive and communication factors involved in handoffs within the NPP outage workflows. Simulation results indicate that the proposed handoff modeling can help predict the impact of cognitive and communication issues on delays propagating throughout outage schedules. Moreover, various activities are fully considered, including traveling between workspaces and waiting. Such delay prediction capability paves the path toward predictive and resilience outage control of NPPs.

关键词： NPP outage human error team cognition handoff modeling

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Synthesis of spherical parallel manipulator for dexterous medical task

Abdelbadia CHAKER, Abdelfattah MLIKA, Med Amine LARIBI, Lotfi ROMDHANE, Sa?d ZEGHLOUL

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2012年第7卷第2期页码 150-162 doi: 10.1007/s11465-012-0325-4

摘要：

This paper deals with the design and the analysis of a spherical parallel manipulator (SPM) for a haptic minimally invasive surgery application. First the medical task was characterized with the help of a surgeon who performed a suture technique called anastomosis. A Vicon system was used to capture the motion of the surgeon, which yielded the volume swept by the tool during the anastomosis operation. The identified workspace can be represented by a cone with a half vertex angle of 26°. A multi objective optimization procedure based on genetic algorithms was then carried out to find the optimal SPM. Two criteria were considered, i.e., task workspace and mechanism dexterity. The optimized SPM was then analyzed to determine the error on the orientation of the end effector as a function of the manufacturing errors of the different links of the mechanism.

关键词： spherical parallel manipulator (SPM) anastomosis haptic motion capture optimization workspace dexterity genetic algorithm manufacturing errors

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The dynamic correction of collimation errors of CT slicing pictures

LIU Ya-xiong, Sekou Sing-are, LI Di-chen, LU Bing-heng

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2006年第1卷第2期页码 168-172 doi: 10.1007/s11465-006-0016-0

摘要： To eliminate the motion artifacts of CT images caused by patient motions and other related errors, two kinds of correctors (A type and U type) are proposed to monitor the scanning process and correct the motion artifacts of the original images via reverse geometrical transformation such as reverse scaling, moving, rotating and offsetting. The results confirm that the correction method with any of the correctors can improve the accuracy and reliability of CT images, which facilitates in eliminating or decreasing the motion artifacts and correcting other static errors and image processing errors. This provides a foundation for the 3D reconstruction and accurate fabrication of the customized implants.

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面向大幅面金属增材抛光的激光扫描振镜与伺服台协同控制系统 Article

崔梦嘉, 卢立斌, 张震, 管迎春

《工程（英文）》 2021年第7卷第12期页码 1732-1740 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2020.06.028

摘要：

为了满足高品质金属增材制造的迫切需求，本文创新地提出了一种以激光扫描振镜与精密伺服台协同控制为核心的大幅面激光精密抛光方法，以实现大幅面选区激光熔化（SLM）成形镍合金精密抛光。我们提出的协同控制系统主要包括主从式新型协同控制架构、运动矢量分解和误差合成等核心模块。研究实验结果表明，与传统步进-扫描方法相比，该协同控制系统实现了激光光斑连续运动，避免了拼接误差，加工效率提升了38.24%。由于激光扫描路径更流畅，相应能量分布更均匀，因此，大幅面抛光质量得到显著改善。本协同系统为大幅面、高精度、高效率的激光精密加工提供了重要途径，在航空航天、新能源、高端模具、医疗器械等精密制造领域具有广阔的应用前景。

关键词：协同控制激光制造拼接误差激光抛光大幅面

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Rotation errors in numerical manifold method and a correction based on large deformation theory

Ning ZHANG, Xu LI, Qinghui JIANG, Xingchao LIN

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年第13卷第5期页码 1036-1053 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0535-5

摘要： Numerical manifold method (NMM) is an effective method for simulating block system, however, significant errors are found in its simulation of rotation problems. Three kinds of errors, as volume expansion, stress vibration, and attenuation of angular velocity, were observed in the original NMM. The first two kind errors are owing to the small deformation assumption and the last one is due to the numerical damping. A large deformation NMM is proposed based on large deformation theory. In this method, the governing equation is derived using Green strain, the large deformation iteration and the open-close iteration are combined, and an updating strategy is proposed. The proposed method is used to analyze block rotation, beam bending, and rock falling problems and the results prove that all three kinds of errors are eliminated in this method.

关键词： numerical manifold method rotation large deformation Green strain open-close iteration

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Understanding the demand predictability of bike share systems: A station-level analysis

《工程管理前沿（英文）》页码 551-565 doi: 10.1007/s42524-023-0279-8

摘要： Predicting demand for bike share systems (BSSs) is critical for both the management of an existing BSS and the planning for a new BSS. While researchers have mainly focused on improving prediction accuracy and analysing demand-influencing factors, there are few studies examining the inherent randomness of stations’ observed demands and to what degree the demands at individual stations are predictable. Using Divvy bike-share one-year data from Chicago, USA, we measured demand entropy and quantified the station-level predictability. Additionally, to verify that these predictability measures could represent the performance of prediction models, we implemented two commonly used demand prediction models to compare the empirical prediction accuracy with the calculated entropy and predictability. Furthermore, we explored how city- and system-specific temporally-constant features would impact entropy and predictability to inform estimating these measures when historical demand data are unavailable. Our results show that entropy of demands across stations is polarized as some stations exhibit high uncertainty (a low entropy of 0.65) and others have almost no check-out demand uncertainty (a high entropy of around 1.0). We also validated that the entropy and predictability are a priori model-free indicators for prediction error, given a sequence of bike usage demands. Lastly, we identified that key factors contributing to station-level entropy and predictability include per capita income, spatial eccentricity, and the number of parking lots near the station. Findings from this study provide more fundamental understanding of BSS demand prediction, which can help decision makers and system operators anticipate diverse station-level prediction errors from their prediction models both for existing stations and for new ones.

关键词： bike share systems demand prediction prediction errors machine learning entropy

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Planet position errors in planetary transmission: Effect on load sharing and transmission error

Miguel IGLESIAS, Alfonso FERNáNDEZ, Ana DE-JUAN, Ramón SANCIBRIáN, Pablo GARCíA

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2013年第8卷第1期页码 80-87 doi: 10.1007/s11465-013-0362-7

摘要：

In this paper an advanced model of spur gear transmissions developed by the authors is used to study the influence of carrier planet pin hole position errors on the behaviour of the transmission. The model, initially conceived for external gear modeling, has been extended with internal meshing features, and thus increasing its capabilities to include planetary transmission modeling. The new features are presented, along with the summary of the model general approach. The parameters and characteristics of the planetary transmission used in the paper are introduced. The influence of carrier planet pin hole position errors on the planet load sharing is studied, and several static cases are given as examples in order to show the ability of the model. Tangential and radial planet pin hole position errors are considered independently, and the effect of the load level is also taken into account. It is also given attention to the effect on the transmission error of the transmission. Two different configurations for the planetary transmission are used, attending to the fixed or floating condition of the sun, and the differences in terms of load sharing ratio are shown.

关键词： gear planetary epicyclic transmission load sharing transmission error

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一种针对测试误差、参数误差和负荷突变故障分析的多功能动态状态估计器 Article

Mehdi AHMADI JIRDEHI,Reza HEMMATI,Vahid ABBASI,Hedayat SABOORI

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2016年第17卷第11期页码 1218-1227 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1500301

摘要：本文提出了一种基于卡尔曼滤波理论的动态状态估计新算法，可有效探测、识别并校正电力系统中的测试误差和支路参数误差。同时，该算法亦可成功探测和识别电力系统中的负荷突变。该方法在每段取样时间内，采用三种归一化向量对误差进行处理，包括归一化测量残差，归一化拉格朗日乘子，以及归一化新息向量。在IEEE14节点测试系统上对所提出的算法进行了可行性和效能验证，并通过对数值结果的呈示和讨论，说明了该方法的精确度。

关键词：动态状态估计器；卡尔曼滤波；测试误差；支路参数误差；负荷突变

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Atomic and close-to-atomic scale manufacturing—A trend in manufacturing development

Fengzhou FANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2016年第11卷第4期页码 325-327 doi: 10.1007/s11465-016-0402-1

摘要：

Manufacturing is the foundation of a nation’s economy. It is the primary industry to promote economic and social development. To accelerate and upgrade China’s manufacturing sector from “precision manufacturing” to “high-performance and high-quality manufacturing”, a new breakthrough should be found in terms of achieving a “leap-frog development”. Unlike conventional manufacturing, the fundamental theory of “Manufacturing 3.0” is beyond the scope of conventional theory; rather, it is based on new principles and theories at the atomic and/or close-to-atomic scale. Obtaining a dominant role at the international level is a strategic move for China’s progress.

关键词： atomic manufacturing Manufacturing 3.0 Manufacturing 2025 Industry 4.0

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Reconfigurable manufacturing systems: Principles, design, and future trends

Yoram KOREN, Xi GU, Weihong GUO

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2018年第13卷第2期页码 121-136 doi: 10.1007/s11465-018-0483-0

摘要：

Reconfigurable manufacturing systems (RMSs), which possess the advantages of both dedicated serial lines and flexible manufacturing systems, were introduced in the mid-1990s to address the challenges initiated by globalization. The principal goal of an RMS is to enhance the responsiveness of manufacturing systems to unforeseen changes in product demand. RMSs are cost-effective because they boost productivity, and increase the lifetime of the manufacturing system. Because of the many streams in which a product may be produced on an RMS, maintaining product precision in an RMS is a challenge. But the experience with RMS in the last 20 years indicates that product quality can be definitely maintained by inserting in-line inspection stations. In this paper, we formulate the design and operational principles for RMSs, and provide a state-of-the-art review of the design and operations methodologies of RMSs according to these principles. Finally, we propose future research directions, and deliberate on how recent intelligent manufacturing technologies may advance the design and operations of RMSs.

关键词： reconfigurable manufacturing systems responsiveness intelligent manufacturing

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Application of blockchain in the field of intelligent manufacturing: Theoretical basis, realistic plights

Qiang ZHANG, Baoyu LIAO, Shanlin YANG

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2020年第7卷第4期页码 578-591 doi: 10.1007/s42524-020-0137-x

摘要： Blockchain technology is considered one of the promising technologies of the information technology era. The core features of blockchain, such as decentralization, transparency, high security, and tamper-proof nature, bring great convenience for large-scale social cooperation and data sharing. Blockchain has a broad application prospect in the field of intelligent manufacturing. The key issues of this field, such as distributed collaborative production, industrial big data sharing and security, transparent logistics, and supply chain, are naturally consistent with the core characteristics of the blockchain technology. This study aims to analyze the application of blockchain in the field of intelligent manufacturing. First, we introduce the basic connotation and applications of blockchain. Then, we propose the theoretical basis for the application of blockchain in the field of intelligent manufacturing. Finally, we point out the realistic plights and provide some suggestions to promote the application of blockchain in the field of intelligent manufacturing.

关键词： blockchain technology intelligent manufacturing networked collaborative manufacturing full life-cycle management manufacturing model innovation

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中国制造业发展的成就、经验与问题研究

李平,李晓华

《中国工程科学》 2015年第17卷第7期页码 41-40

摘要：

改革开放30多年来，中国制造业建立起完善的和具有国际竞争力的现代制造业体系、在世界制造格局中占有举足轻重的地位。中国制造业发展成就的取得归功于坚持改革开放政策、保持稳定的社会经济环境、建设完善的公共基础设施、发挥地方政府的积极性和高度重视创新和科技进步。制约中国制造业进一步转型升级的体制、机制和政策问题仍然存在。

关键词：中国制造制造业制造大国制造强国

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智能制造推动我国制造业全面创新升级

钟志华,臧冀原,延建林,苗仲桢,杨晓迎,古依莎娜

《中国工程科学》 2020年第22卷第6期页码 136-142 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2020.06.018

摘要：

我国抓牢新一轮科技革命和产业变革的历史机遇，加快发展智能制造并取得了积极成效。也要注意到，我国智能制造整体发展仍处于初级阶段，不平衡不充分的矛盾较为突出，持续深入推进智能制造面临挑战。近年来，我国启动了从制造大国迈向制造强国的发展进程，加快制造业由大变强、全面创新升级的发展步伐，但升级的技术路线仍需更加明确。研究认为，新时期新阶段我国制造业要实现全面创新升级，应坚持智能制造发展的主攻方向，优化调整总体技术路线，即数字化制造、数字化网络化制造、数字化网络化智能化制造“并行推进、融合发展”；企业实施智能制造战略，应深度融合数字化网络化智能化赋能技术、先进制造技术，注重产品创新、生产创新、模式创新、制造系统集成创新，力争实现整体性突破。

关键词：中国制造智能制造数字化制造数字化网络化制造数字化网络化智能化制造

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Review of materials used in laser-aided additive manufacturing processes to produce metallic products

Xiaodong NIU, Surinder SINGH, Akhil GARG, Harpreet SINGH, Biranchi PANDA, Xiongbin PENG, Qiujuan ZHANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2019年第14卷第3期页码 282-298 doi: 10.1007/s11465-019-0526-1

摘要： Rapid prototyping (RP) or layered manufacturing (LM) technologies have been extensively used to manufacture prototypes composed mainly of plastics, polymers, paper, and wax due to the short product development time and low costs of these technologies. However, such technologies, with the exception of selective laser melting and sintering, are not used to fabricate metallic products because of the resulting poor life, short cycle, poor surface finish, and low structural integrity of the fabricated parts. The properties endowed by these parts do not match those of functional parts. Therefore, extensive research has been conducted to develop new additive manufacturing (AM) technologies by extending existing RP technologies. Several AM technologies have been developed for the fabrication of metallic objects. These technologies utilize materials, such as Ni-, Al-, and Ti-based alloys and stainless steel powders, to fabricate high-quality functional components. The present work reviews the type of materials used in laser-based AM processes for the manufacture of metallic products. The advantages and disadvantages of processes and different materials are summarized, and future research directions are discussed in the final section. This review can help experts select the ideal type of process or technology for the manufacturing of elements composed of a given alloy or material (Ni, Ti, Al, Pb, and stainless steel).

关键词： direct metal deposition laser-based manufacturing rapid manufacturing selective laser melting additive manufacturing

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农机装备制造业服务型制造模式研究

罗建强,张弛

《中国工程科学》 2023年第25卷第1期页码 178-186 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2023.01.704

摘要：

农机装备制造业是确保粮食安全、助推农业现代化的重要基础。我国农机装备制造业服务型制造处于萌芽探索阶段，服务化水平落后于国际先进水平，难以满足当前农业生产、未来产业高质量发展的需要。本文基于我国农机装备制造业当前的发展现状，深度分析3家全球知名的农机装备制造企业服务化转型案例及经验，在此基础上归纳提炼了适用于我国国情的农机装备制造业服务型制造的3类模式。研究发现，农机装备制造业服务型制造模式实现具有较强的情境依赖性，服务能力是面向对象与面向组织的集成体，农机装备制造业服务型制造模式具有较强的收敛性。为此建议，加强农机装备制造产业内外合作，整合国际优势资源；培养专业农机服务队伍，塑造错位竞争优势；聚焦我国农事难题，开展技术与服务双创新。

关键词：服务型制造；制造业服务化；农机装备制造业；农事解决方案

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标题作者时间类型操作

Modeling and simulating the impact of forgetting and communication errors on delays in civil infrastructure

Zhe SUN, Cheng ZHANG, Pingbo TANG

期刊论文

Synthesis of spherical parallel manipulator for dexterous medical task

Abdelbadia CHAKER, Abdelfattah MLIKA, Med Amine LARIBI, Lotfi ROMDHANE, Sa?d ZEGHLOUL

期刊论文

The dynamic correction of collimation errors of CT slicing pictures

LIU Ya-xiong, Sekou Sing-are, LI Di-chen, LU Bing-heng

期刊论文